Elie: Elie moved page Seeing the evidence but missing the model to Archive:000/Seeing the evidence but missing the model without leaving a redirect: Huge_refactor

2024-10-26T20:30:09Z

Elie moved page Seeing the evidence but missing the model to Archive:000/Seeing the evidence but missing the model without leaving a redirect: Huge_refactor

← Older revision	Revision as of 16:30, 26 October 2024
(No difference)

Elie at 14:17, 5 February 2024

2024-02-05T14:17:17Z

← Older revision		Revision as of 10:17, 5 February 2024
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	Model missed:		Model missed:
	: For every architect, there has to be hundreds of construction workers to actually build the ~~design~~. Therefore, if we want the world to have more job satisfaction, it doesn't help to push kids to get better grades. Instead, we have to make ''ordinary'' [[labor\|jobs]] more satisfying.		: For every architect, there has to be hundreds of construction workers to actually build the designs. Therefore, if we want the world to have more job satisfaction, it doesn't help to push kids to get better grades. Instead, we have to make ''ordinary'' [[labor\|jobs]] more satisfying.

Elie: Created page with "''Seeing the evidence but missing the model'' is a '''logical fallacy'''. It's one way that journalists & governments misrepresent scientific studies (whether intentionally or not). ==Examples== Evidence seen: : Corn can be burned for energy. Therefore it can replace fossil fuels. Model missed: : Even if we burned all the food in the world, we would still barely meet 10% of global energy demand (and we would starve). Evidence seen: : Most peo..."

2024-02-03T07:12:47Z

Created page with "''Seeing the evidence but missing the model'' is a '''logical fallacy'''. It's one way that journalists & governments misrepresent scientific studies (whether intentionally or not). ==Examples== Evidence seen: : Corn can be burned for energy. Therefore it can replace fossil fuels. Model missed: : Even if we burned all the food in the world, we would still barely meet 10% of global energy demand (and we would starve). Evidence seen: : Most peo..."

New page

''Seeing the evidence but missing the model'' is a '''logical fallacy'''. It's one way that journalists & governments misrepresent scientific studies (whether intentionally or not).

==Examples==

Evidence seen:
: [[Corn]] can be burned for [[energy]]. Therefore it can replace fossil fuels.

Model missed:
: Even if we burned all the [[food]] in the world, we would still barely meet 10% of global energy demand (and we would [[hunger|starve]]).

Evidence seen:
: Most people who don't eat fish (or fish oils) often lack omega-3. Therefore, fish is an essential food.

Model missed:
: Fish get their omega-3 from algae. People can be just as healthy (or even healthier) if they eat algae (such as seaweed) instead of fish. {{x| Algae production is also cheaper and involves less animal cruelty per unit.}}

Evidence seen:
* People who eat a lot of saturated fats tend to be unhealthy. Therefore saturated fats are bad for you.
* People who eat a lot of sugar tend to be unhealthy. Therefore sugar is bad for you.

Model missed:
: If you eat mostly junk food, you'll get plenty of saturated fat and sugar, but not enough vitamins, minerals, protein and fiber. '''That's''' where the health problems come from. But junk food could very well be part of a healthy [[balanced diet]] - it could even provide most of the calories - as long as you also eat a lot of nutrient-rich foods (such as lentils, beans, carrots) and take a multivitamin.

Evidence seen:
: This one household [[appliance]] is energy-efficient. Therefore it can help the environment.

Model missed:
: You forgot to count all the energy it took to ''manufacture'' the appliance.

Evidence seen:
: If you get really good grades in school, you can grow up to be an architect instead of a construction worker. Therefore let's help more kids get good grades so they can really succeed in life!

Model missed:
: For every architect, there has to be hundreds of construction workers to actually build the design. Therefore, if we want the world to have more job satisfaction, it doesn't help to push kids to get better grades. Instead, we have to make ''ordinary'' [[labor|jobs]] more satisfying.

Evidence seen:
: You can make a money from the stock market. Therefore schools should teach kids how to invest in it when they're older.

Model missed:
: For every winner in the stock market, there is a loser (zero-sum game). If you made a ''good decision'' by selling your stock at a particular time, then by definition, the person buying it made a ''bad decision''. The world would not be any wealthier if everyone knew how to invest in the stock market.

==Subtypes==
* [[confusing correlation with causation]]
* confusing zero-sum games with positive-sum games
* not seeing how economics/psychology/biology is bounded by physics
* ''qualitative'' statements that are misleading due to the lack of ''quantitative'' data

Archive:000/Seeing the evidence but missing the model - Revision history

Elie: Elie moved page Seeing the evidence but missing the model to Archive:000/Seeing the evidence but missing the model without leaving a redirect: Huge_refactor

Elie at 14:17, 5 February 2024