Minerals if all vehicles were electric (NMC lithium-ion): Difference between revisions

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(Created page with "==Quick estimate== {{empty}} {{talk|Gotta factor in both the passenger vehicles and the commercial vehicles - total battery capacity. TODO: figure out a reasonable way to estimate this}} ==See also== * Minerals if all vehicles were electric (LFP batteries)")
 
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==Quick estimate==
==Quick estimate==
{{empty}} {{talk|Gotta factor in both the passenger vehicles and the commercial vehicles - total battery capacity. TODO: figure out a reasonable way to estimate this}}
{{dp|ev.nickel| 28.9 kg}}
{{dp|ev.cobalt|  7.7 kg}}
{{dp|ev.lithium| 5.9 kg}}
{{dp|world.cars| 1.475 billion}}
{{dp|commercial_factor|2
||Included here, for lack of better data, because not all vehicles are cars; there are also small trucks and large semi trucks, which would need far more battery per vehicle.
<!--ALT: Included here, for lack of better data, because we need to account for more than just cars - there are also commercial vehicles such as small trucks and large semi trucks.-->
''Leave a comment on the {{tp}} if you know of more precise data on the total number of commercial vehicles in the world, by type.''
}}
{{dp|cobalt.reserves|      11 million tonnes|World total}}
{{dp|cobalt.resources|    25 million tonnes|World total}}
{{dp|lithium.reserves|    28 million tonnes|World total}}
{{dp|lithium.resources|  105 million tonnes|World total}}
{{dp|manganese.reserves| 1900 million tonnes|World total}}
{{dp|nickel.reserves|    130 million tonnes|World total}}
{{dp|nickel.resources|    350 million tonnes|World total}}
 
{{calc
|ev.nickel * world.cars * commercial_factor
|% nickel.reserves
}}
 
{{calc
|ev.cobalt * world.cars * commercial_factor
|% cobalt.reserves
}}
 
{{calc
|ev.lithium * world.cars * commercial_factor
|% lithium.reserves
}}
 
{{pn|TODO: elaborate on the meaning of this calculation}}
 
<tab name="Data sources used"><small>
'''Data source for mineral reserves/resources:'''
* [https://pubs.usgs.gov/publication/mcs2024 United States Geological Survey (USGS) Mineral Commodity Summaries 2024] (https://doi.org/10.3133/mcs2024)
** Even though the publication is U.S.-based, it provides data regarding the entire world's minerals.
 
'''Data source for EV battery minerals:'''
* Oct 9, 2023, [https://www.statista.com/statistics/1247675/weight-of-metal-in-lithium-ion-batteries/ Weight of metal in lithium-ion batteries 2020 - Statista]
** "In 2020, an average lithium-ion battery contained around '''28.9''' kilograms of nickel, '''7.7''' kilogram of cobalt, and '''5.9''' kilogram of lithium. [...] Based on the average battery composition in 2020 with 60 kWh capacity."
* Also note that 60 kWh is considered very typical for the battery capacity of an electric car: https://ev-database.org/cheatsheet/useable-battery-capacity-electric-car
 
'''Data source for how many cars in the world:'''
* https://hedgescompany.com/blog/2021/06/how-many-cars-are-there-in-the-world/
** Last updated in 2024
</small></tab>
<!--
TODO: get the data required for this next calc:
{{calc
|3% tesla_model_whatever_they_said_was_3_percent_cobalt.battery.mass
|ev.cobalt
||Tesla boasts that their batteries have "only" 3% cobalt, but that's actually ''worse'' than the above.
}}
 
TODO: also talk about "% of resources" vs "% of reserves"
-->
 
==See also==
==See also==
* [[Minerals if all vehicles were electric (LFP batteries)]]
* [[Minerals if all vehicles were electric (LFP batteries)]]

Revision as of 09:22, 25 November 2024

Quick estimate

ev.nickel
28.9 kg
ev.cobalt
7.7 kg
ev.lithium
5.9 kg
world.cars
1.475 billion
commercial_factor
2
Included here, for lack of better data, because not all vehicles are cars; there are also small trucks and large semi trucks, which would need far more battery per vehicle.

Leave a comment on the talk page if you know of more precise data on the total number of commercial vehicles in the world, by type.

cobalt.reserves
11 million tonnes
World total
cobalt.resources
25 million tonnes
World total
lithium.reserves
28 million tonnes
World total
lithium.resources
105 million tonnes
World total
manganese.reserves
1900 million tonnes
World total
nickel.reserves
130 million tonnes
World total
nickel.resources
350 million tonnes
World total

ev.nickel * world.cars * commercial_factor % nickel.reserves (calculation loading)

ev.cobalt * world.cars * commercial_factor % cobalt.reserves (calculation loading)

ev.lithium * world.cars * commercial_factor % lithium.reserves (calculation loading)

TODO: elaborate on the meaning of this calculation

Data source for mineral reserves/resources:

Data source for EV battery minerals:

Data source for how many cars in the world:

See also

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