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Minerals if all vehicles were electric (NMC lithium-ion): Difference between revisions
Minerals if all vehicles were electric (NMC lithium-ion) (view source)
Revision as of 09:22, 25 November 2024
, 25 November 2024→Quick estimate
(Created page with "==Quick estimate== {{empty}} {{talk|Gotta factor in both the passenger vehicles and the commercial vehicles - total battery capacity. TODO: figure out a reasonable way to estimate this}} ==See also== * Minerals if all vehicles were electric (LFP batteries)") |
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==Quick estimate== | ==Quick estimate== | ||
{{ | {{dp|ev.nickel| 28.9 kg}} | ||
{{dp|ev.cobalt| 7.7 kg}} | |||
{{dp|ev.lithium| 5.9 kg}} | |||
{{dp|world.cars| 1.475 billion}} | |||
{{dp|commercial_factor|2 | |||
||Included here, for lack of better data, because not all vehicles are cars; there are also small trucks and large semi trucks, which would need far more battery per vehicle. | |||
<!--ALT: Included here, for lack of better data, because we need to account for more than just cars - there are also commercial vehicles such as small trucks and large semi trucks.--> | |||
''Leave a comment on the {{tp}} if you know of more precise data on the total number of commercial vehicles in the world, by type.'' | |||
}} | |||
{{dp|cobalt.reserves| 11 million tonnes|World total}} | |||
{{dp|cobalt.resources| 25 million tonnes|World total}} | |||
{{dp|lithium.reserves| 28 million tonnes|World total}} | |||
{{dp|lithium.resources| 105 million tonnes|World total}} | |||
{{dp|manganese.reserves| 1900 million tonnes|World total}} | |||
{{dp|nickel.reserves| 130 million tonnes|World total}} | |||
{{dp|nickel.resources| 350 million tonnes|World total}} | |||
{{calc | |||
|ev.nickel * world.cars * commercial_factor | |||
|% nickel.reserves | |||
}} | |||
{{calc | |||
|ev.cobalt * world.cars * commercial_factor | |||
|% cobalt.reserves | |||
}} | |||
{{calc | |||
|ev.lithium * world.cars * commercial_factor | |||
|% lithium.reserves | |||
}} | |||
{{pn|TODO: elaborate on the meaning of this calculation}} | |||
<tab name="Data sources used"><small> | |||
'''Data source for mineral reserves/resources:''' | |||
* [https://pubs.usgs.gov/publication/mcs2024 United States Geological Survey (USGS) Mineral Commodity Summaries 2024] (https://doi.org/10.3133/mcs2024) | |||
** Even though the publication is U.S.-based, it provides data regarding the entire world's minerals. | |||
'''Data source for EV battery minerals:''' | |||
* Oct 9, 2023, [https://www.statista.com/statistics/1247675/weight-of-metal-in-lithium-ion-batteries/ Weight of metal in lithium-ion batteries 2020 - Statista] | |||
** "In 2020, an average lithium-ion battery contained around '''28.9''' kilograms of nickel, '''7.7''' kilogram of cobalt, and '''5.9''' kilogram of lithium. [...] Based on the average battery composition in 2020 with 60 kWh capacity." | |||
* Also note that 60 kWh is considered very typical for the battery capacity of an electric car: https://ev-database.org/cheatsheet/useable-battery-capacity-electric-car | |||
'''Data source for how many cars in the world:''' | |||
* https://hedgescompany.com/blog/2021/06/how-many-cars-are-there-in-the-world/ | |||
** Last updated in 2024 | |||
</small></tab> | |||
<!-- | |||
TODO: get the data required for this next calc: | |||
{{calc | |||
|3% tesla_model_whatever_they_said_was_3_percent_cobalt.battery.mass | |||
|ev.cobalt | |||
||Tesla boasts that their batteries have "only" 3% cobalt, but that's actually ''worse'' than the above. | |||
}} | |||
TODO: also talk about "% of resources" vs "% of reserves" | |||
--> | |||
==See also== | ==See also== | ||
* [[Minerals if all vehicles were electric (LFP batteries)]] | * [[Minerals if all vehicles were electric (LFP batteries)]] | ||